Sunday, November 29, 2009
Sunday, September 6, 2009
Sunday, August 30, 2009
What the heck is Web 3.0 ?
It's Web 1.0 + Web 2.0 = WEB 3.0
As you know, Web 1.0 was simply an acronym for eCommerce. Back then, retail stores wanted to do business on the internet rather than just using expensive retail storefronts. Many saw the power of the internet to attract an entirely new audience that may not have had the chance to visit their store in person. This would without doubt give them access to more potential customers for less cost.
Web 2.0, in its simplest definition and use today, has become an acronym for the everyday person's ability to communicate and collaborate globally using Social Networking. It has made things more user friendly to us, and as such, companies have come to embrace these new design and communication formats to engage with their customers.
Web 3.0 brings these two worlds together for the average person to be able to harness the power of the internet to begin to profit with multiple streams of income online by introducing products and services to their groups of followers (also known as their list and also as their tribe).
More info can be found at www.aTRAFFICplan.com
We have live training every Wed evening, you don't want to miss it
and remember, it FR.33
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Saturday, June 6, 2009
By Jon Herring
What is good for individuals and for the economy in general is not necessarily good for retailers. For example, it is a good thing when people stop using their home equity as an ATM machine. And it's a good thing when they increase savings and pay down debt. But these improvements in consumer balance sheets can be a drain on the balance sheets of retailers.
Like it or not, consumer spending accounts for more than two-thirds of U.S. economic activity. And that makes retail earnings an important barometer for the economy. So what are retail earnings telling us... and how can you profit?
The biggest lesson we can take from retail earnings is that our economy is not only slowing (that is obvious), it is also changing. We are moving from an economy based on "what I want" to an economy based on "what I need."
That is why retailers that sell necessities (like Wal-Mart) will continue to show strength, whereas retailers that focus on luxuries and rely on discretionary spending (think Coach, Tiffany, and Saks) will show weakness.
Two companies that exemplify the shift in consumer buying trends are deep-discount retailers Family Dollar (FDO) and Dollar Tree (DLTR). Market research firm Nielsen recently reported that high-income shoppers (from households making more than $100,000 a year) increased their spending at dollar stores by 18 percent in the second half of 2008 as compared to 2007. Not surprisingly, both of these companies are near their all-time highs, while the rest of the market founders.
And speaking of relative strength, one of my favorite retailers in this market is AutoZone (AZO). When the economy tumbles and money is tight, people are more inclined to fix their old car, rather than buy a new one. Need evidence? AZO is also within spitting distance of its all-time high. Few companies have shown this level of resilience, and in a down market that is what you should be looking for.
Personally, I am choosing real estate, not to buy and hold, but rather to flip and collect profits immediately, no placing bets on stocks. Home Seller Assist provides complete A-Z training and 100% funding to buy using no credit or cash plus we have live training each Wed evening!
Home of 20-day loan closings
Monday, May 4, 2009
For months, my colleagues and I at ETR's sister newsletter, Investor's Daily Edge, have been pounding the table about how this market is a stock picker's dream. We have said things like, "Millionaires are made at this point in the market cycle," "Stocks are really cheap," and "Build a bulletproof portfolio now." But most people can only hear the doom and gloom news, and it always ends up costing them money.
The market is almost 7,000 points below its previous high, even after a huge move in the last month. This is a buy signal... not a reason to stay out. But most will stay on the sidelines and wait for stocks to become overpriced before they buy again.
In my last ETR article, I said that you can lower your risk in this market by giving it time. Now, here's another suggestion...
Average in, rather than dumping in all your money at once. Buy about one-quarter to one-third of what your usual position size is, and buy on the dips - and there will be dips in the next three to five years.
If you want to add a nice kicker to this plan, buy companies with good dividends. That could add 5 to 7 percent to your annual return. That's how cheap stocks are right now. Companies that usually have dividends of 1 to 3 percent are paying 5 to 7 percent.
This is a 100-year buying opportunity. The only requirement is that you must be willing to stay the course and treat selling dips as buying opportunities. You have your pick of the best companies in the world right now at bargain basement prices.
[Ed. Note: Get the scoop on more emerging investment opportunities from Steve McDonald in Investor's Daily Edge, ETR's sister publication. Sign up for free right here.
Saturday, May 2, 2009
The printing press is also being used to artificially maintain low interest rates via market interventions. Derivatives have long been focused there but now the Fed has resorted to direct action. The Fed is in the market buying our own Treasury Bonds. $300 billion is the first estimate, but you know how government estimates tend to work out.
Folks, this extreme action is akin to entering the bidding for your own house sale. An advanced central planning degree is required for this desperate maneuver.
Friday, May 1, 2009
This is a great way to buy stocks at a discount. Let's say you would love to buy IBM at $81 a share, but it's selling at $89 a share. In this case, you could sell the $81 put option. If the price falls below $81 before the option expiration date, you get your shares at the price you like. If the price stays above $81, you keep the premium and you can repeat the process.
You can also sell puts with the goal of generating income. In this case, you'd want the puts to expire worthless so you can capture the option premium. To accomplish this goal, you sell puts that are "out of the money" on stocks you believe to have very little downside risk... and which you would be willing to purchase at a much lower price.
Here is an example...
Let's assume that stock XYZ is selling for $13. We'll also assume the stock has already fallen by a significant amount (not too hard to find in today's market) and you believe the rock bottom liquidation value of the company is $8.
With the stock trading at $13, the July $10 put option is well out of the money and selling for $1.50. You decide to sell those puts. When the trade closes, $150 will automatically show up in your account for every put contract you sold.
The only way you could lose money on this trade is if XYZ trades below $8.50 ($10 minus $1.50) on or before the option expiration date in July. That would be a 35 percent drop from the depressed level the stock is trading at when you sell the puts.
And in the unlikely event that you are obligated to purchase those shares below $8.50, you should still come out okay. After all, the liquidation value of the company is $8 a share, which makes the downside risk very small.
This strategy should be employed on stocks where you believe the downside risk is minimal. And you should only employ it on stocks that you would be glad to own at a price below where you sell the put.
You should also have a reasonable understanding of the true valuation of the company. For this reason, I would exclude most financial and insurance companies, as few people (including insiders) have any idea how much these companies are worth or what is on the books.
By selling put options, you could buy super-high-quality stocks as much as 50 percent cheaper than today's historically low prices. Plus, you'll get cold, hard cash deposited in your account instantly... adding to your annual income!
Tuesday, April 28, 2009
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Friday, April 24, 2009
When investigating companies to invest in, I look at several margins - gross, operating, pre-tax, and net profit margin. But I focus on operating margin. Operating margin is the difference between how much you make and how much you spend to operate the business. If the "making" is at least 15 percent higher than the "spending," I'm interested.
But there's something else I need to know...
Was the operating margin lower or higher last year? And the year before? And the year before that? I like to see margins on an upward trend. It could mean several things, like...
Strong and/or rising pricing power
A shortage of products (Think Harley-Davidson, which deliberately makes fewer bikes than they could sell.)
A transition from lower-end to higher-end products
The ability to effectively manage costs
It takes more homework to figure out what is driving higher margins, but all of the above possibilities are good. So with an operating margin on an upward trend, even without doing the homework, you already know the company is running its business from a position of strength.
Profit margins go to the core of what makes a business successful. If you want a reality check, consider retailers.
Many retailers sold more product than ever during the 2008 holiday season. But because they had to slash prices to get customers to buy, their margins were squeezed to the max. So while sales were up, profits were down. That's what happens when margins go in the wrong direction.
If you want to do the research yourself, the numbers are provided online by Reuters Finance. Just look up a specific company and click on "Ratios."
[Ed. Note: This June, investment expert Andrew Gordon is just one of 9 investment experts who will show you exactly how you can make a fortune in today's market. Find out how to get their top recommendations for making 2009 the best year ever for your portfolio right here.]
Saturday, April 18, 2009
Develop your happiness "dream team" - a mastermind or support group you meet with regularly to keep you steadily on the happiness path."Happily ever after" isn't just for fairy tales or the lucky few. Imagine experiencing inner peace and well-being as the backdrop for everything else in your life.
When you're Happy for No Reason, it's not that your life always looks perfect - it's that however it looks, you're still happy! [Ed. Note: Marci Shimoff is the author of the New York Times bestseller Happy for No Reason: 7 Steps to Being Happy from the Inside Out, a revolutionary approach to experiencing deep and lasting happiness. As the woman's face of the Chicken Soup for the Soul series and a featured teacher in The Secret, Marci is an authority on success, happiness, and the law of attraction.
To order Happy for No Reason, newly released in paperback, and receive free bonus gifts, go to www.happyfornoreason.com/home.asp. One of the best ways to feel happy is to enjoy the work you do. What better way to create enjoyment in your work than to start your own business, based on something you love to do? Get all the details for getting a moneymaking Internet business up and running right here]
Monday, April 13, 2009
Finance officials from Beijing in Moscow on Thursday held a videoconference to discuss the creation of a “supra-national reserve currency,” the latest evidence of the support China is getting from developing countries as it seeks to replace the U.S. dollar as the world's main reserve currency.
This controversial proposal – and the support that it's getting – also underscores China's continued emergence as a growing global force in both the financial and political arenas.
Monday, March 30, 2009
The effect: Traditional sources of financing – indeed, virtually every type of credit – have been placed in an Ice Age-like deep freeze. Facing a major crisis of confidence, banks underwent a 180-degree turn: Whereas they were previously almost force-feeding us loans, banks are now terrified to even include them on their menus.
Saturday, March 28, 2009
Two pieces of recent economic data have me expecting more of the same risk-averse capital to be driving the U.S. dollar back higher soon:
Japan's exports plunged nearly 50 percent in February — an obvious sign global demand has come to a screeching halt. Tack on the slowdown in exports for the U.S., China, and Germany and you've painted a real ugly picture for the export side of the global economy.
U.S. fourth-quarter GDP sunk by 6.3 percent. This was more than had been expected. Perhaps it's a lagging indicator. But such a dramatic slowdown bodes ill for any bounce-back strength out of the U.S. consumer.
Wednesday, March 25, 2009
Honda Fits are piling up in dealers' lots. Meanwhile, gas guzzlers are selling like hotcakes!
For example, at the end of February, Honda had 22,191 of its gas-sipping Fits on dealers' lots — enough to last 125 days at the current sales rate. The industry generally considers a 55- to 60-day supply healthy. As recently as July, Honda only had a nine-day supply of Fits.
And it's not just Honda. According to The Wall Street Journal, Toyota Motor Corp. has enough Yaris subcompacts to last 175 days. Chrysler LLC has a 205-day supply of the Dodge Caliber.
And Chevrolet dealers are sitting on a mind-blowing 427 days' worth of Aveo subcompacts.
Meanwhile, the new, re-designed Camaro muscle car has customers lining up around the block!
* Car sales are REALLY booming in China! China's vehicle sales surged 25 percent in February, the first gain in four months. The tally in the first two months of the year rose 2.7 percent to 1.56 million. That contrasts sharply with a 39 percent decline in the United States to 1.35 million new vehicles.
* Rig Counts Are Dropping. The number of U.S. rigs drilling for oil and natural gas is plunging. According to Baker Hughes, the number of rigs drilling for oil is down by 13, to 215. That's 126 fewer rigs than there were last year. And rigs currently drilling for oil represent just 19.8 percent of total drilling activity.
Rigs directed toward natural gas were down by 27 at 857 ... 576 less than last year's level of 1,433.
Monday, March 23, 2009
First, most of the money is being poured into a virtually bottomless pit. Even while Uncle Sam spends or lends hundreds of billions, the wealth destruction taking place at the household level in America is occurring in the trillions — $12.9 trillion vaporized in real estate, stocks, and other assets since the onset of the crisis, according to the Fed's latest Flow of Funds.
Second, most of the money from the government is still a promise, and even much of the disbursed funds have yet to reach their destination. Meanwhile, all of the wealth lost has already hit home — literally, in the household.
Third, the government has been, and is, greatly underestimating the magnitude of this debt crisis. Specifically,
The FDIC's "Problem List" of troubled banks includes only 252 institutions with assets of $159 billion. However, based on our analysis, a total of 1,568 banks and thrifts are at risk of failure with assets of $2.32 trillion due to weak capital, asset quality, earnings, and other factors. (The details are in Part I of our white paper, and the institutions are named in Appendix A.)
When Treasury officials first planned to provide TARP funds to Citigroup, they assumed it was among the strong institutions and that the funds would go primarily toward stabilizing the markets or the economy. But even before the check could be cut, they learned that the money would have to be for a very different purpose: an emergency injection of capital to prevent Citigroup's collapse. Based on our analysis, however, Citigroup is not alone. We could witness a similar outcome for JPMorgan Chase and other major banks. (See Part II of our white paper.)
AIG is big. But it, too, is not alone. Yes, in a February 26 memorandum, AIG made the case that its $2 trillion in credit default swaps (CDS) would have been the big event that could have caused a global collapse. And indeed, its counterparties alone have $36 trillion in assets. But AIG's CDS portfolio is just one of many: Citibank's portfolio has $2.9 trillion, almost a trillion more than AIG's at its peak. JPMorgan Chase has $9.2 trillion, or almost five times more than AIG. And globally, the Bank of International Settlements reports a total of $57.3 trillion in credit default swaps, more than 28 times larger than AIG's CDS portfolio.
Clearly, the money available to the U.S. government is too small for a crisis of these dimensions.
Monday, March 16, 2009
Auto companies are in horrible shape. Will GM survive? Has Toyota seen its best days? Is Ford's funk temporary or permanent?
You should stay away from them. But why not invest in the next big technology the auto companies will need? All of them have plans to introduce or step up the production of battery-driven cars beginning around 2011-12.
The batteries being used today won't be the batteries that will be used in a few years. Nickel-cadmium batteries are on the way out. On the way in are lithium-ion batteries, with twice the capacity and half the weight. Plus, they work fine in hot or cold weather.
This market is flying under the radar. From $9 billion today, it could reach $150 billion in the next 10 years.
There are about 30 car manufacturers around the world dying to get their hands on this new technology. And those companies that have already begun production have the best chance of becoming big players in this market.
Saturday, March 14, 2009
But the move that sent the dollar above overhead resistance hasn't held.
All the efforts to push back to those highs have been met with overpowering selling pressure.
Both the bears and bulls have been participating, no doubt about it. But the bears have been in the driver's seat lately.
HOME SELLER ASSIST - THE TOUR
Tuesday, March 10, 2009
Taking action is critical to your success, but first take the time to make a plan.
This is the second half of getting ready. You have to know WHAT you want to achieve, but you also need to figure out HOW you will use what you've learned to achieve it. Then, take action!
When we took our first real estate investing program years ago, we skipped right through to taking action. We didn't carefully consider our long-range objectives. So we didn't have any real idea of what we should be getting out of the program. We just knew that we wanted to be rich real estate investors. The sooner the better!
Had we taken a few hours to set realistic, specific goals for ourselves, we could have saved tens of thousands of dollars on repairs and fines for the kind of buildings we shouldn't have bought, and three years of headaches with terrible tenants. And we could have achieved our goal of becoming millionaire real estate investors that much faster.
Taking good programs and learning from mentors is an excellent way to acquire the tools you need to take action and realize your dreams. But save yourself money and pain by getting "Ready" before you "Fire." Then - later - the "Aiming" part comes really easy.
Thursday, February 26, 2009
But the reality is that those who'll prosper will be those with a definite plan in mind and a lot of courage.
Most Americans are focused on survival right now.
They're circling the wagons in an attempt to protect themselves.
But some lone guns are out in the hostile economic wilderness searching for gold mines of opportunity.
Prosperity Road won't be easy to travel at first. There's bound to be plenty of cactus and wild weather to hamper the journey.
But in the end, those gold mines will be worth the effort.
So how will you find your gold mine?
By mapping out where you want to go and how to get there.
If you want to go from survival mode to Prosperity Road, click here.
Monday, February 23, 2009
Investing in commercial real estate can be a daunting, and if done incorrectly, very expensive process. The good news is you don't need years of training to be successful at it. First-time buyers who take the time to do their homework find real estate investing to be financially and personally rewarding. This article gives newbies the practical advice they need before jumping in.
First, here are a few differences between residential and commercial real estate (CRE) investments that you should know before buying anything. Commercial properties
• are valued differently. CRE income is directly related to its usable square footage, which isn't always the case with residential properties.
• often see greater cash flow. On an initial investment basis, the yield is often higher per square foot than in residential. A leased or rented multi-unit commercial property generates more income than a single-family dwelling.
• have longer leases. A longer lease length helps stabilize cash flow.
• help diversify risk. What this means is if, for example, you own an apartment building and you lose one of your ten tenants, only one-tenth of the income for that property is lost. In a single-family house a lost tenant means the entire rent is lost.
• are valued differently by the bank; find one that works with commercial real estate, and know that it will want a higher down payment than with residential investments, usually 30 percent or more.
One important similarity to keep in mind between these two types of property investment is that commercial real estate does go into foreclosure. Banks apply the same methods here as in residential properties.
Now that you're a little more familiar with the ins and outs of commercial real estate, the next step is to do some research. The worst possible thing to do is to jump right into before getting all the facts. It is important to educate yourself as much as possible to keep from making a financial blunder. Read as many books on the subject as you can. Learn the market for your geographic area.
If you have a specific property in mind, find out everything you can about that as well. Find out what the vacancy rates were with the previous owners. Talk to current storefront managers and find out what they like--and don't like--about doing business there. Don't be afraid to get out there and find the answers to such key questions as, Are current store owners planning to renew their leases? How are they doing financially? Have they been behind on rent before? What did they like about former management? Is the site properly zoned? Are any residential properties being built in the area? Is the population's median income at least at the national average, and are people maintaining their income levels? Be sure to ask to see the sellers' cash flow statements, too.
And if you want to flip commercial properties, check out the Home Seller Assist program and their 3% funding program.
Armed with this information, you will be better able to make a financially sound decision on your investment. Commercial real estate is a challenging but potentially very lucrative field, you just have to play the game right and educate yourself as much as possible.
Bacchus Development (http://bacchusdev.com) offers some of the most sought after commercial real estate for sale in Orange County. Rachel Spohn is a freelance writer.
Article Source: http://EzineArticles.com/?expert=Rachel_Spohn
Monday, February 16, 2009
Wednesday, February 11, 2009
Monday, February 9, 2009
Once again, the old Wall Street adage "Buy on the rumor and sell on the news" seemed to be at work. The rumor was the possibility of the stimulus package being passed. Will the market turn around and move lower once the package becomes a reality? Investors carried out the first part of the adage, and it will be interesting to see if they follow through with the second part.
The adage has its roots from the 1950's when a lot of merger activity was taking place. A study showed that in the few months before a merger was announced (but was rumored), the stock outperformed the market in general, but once the merger was announced, the stock underperformed the market. The best strategy was to buy when the rumor started circulating, and then sell as soon as the news became public.
I could not find any studies that supported the adage since the 50's study, but it has persisted nevertheless. I think it is just something for analysts to pull out when there is absolutely no rational explanation they can think of to explain why the market did something like what it did on Friday. It really doesn't make any rational sense. Once again, we are reminded that the market is primarily an emotional beast rather than a rational thinking intellectually evolved animal.
Thursday, February 5, 2009
Researchers from the University of Cambridge who studied male stock traders in London found that those with longer ring fingers tend to make more money (about five times more) than their counterparts with shorter ring fingers.
What does finger length have to do with financial success in the markets?
Here's one possible explanation offered by the authors of the study: The length of those two fingers is determined during fetal development. And a longer ring finger indicates increased exposure to the male hormone androgen. Androgen has been linked to increased confidence, persistence, heightened vigilance, and quick reaction times.
This "cutting-edge" research doesn't tell us however, what effect education, background, experience, and hard work might have on an individual's success as a trader. Because, you know, that would be silly.
(Source: Associated Press)
Friday, January 30, 2009
The Treasury bond market continues to collapse under its own weight. The long bond futures are down ANOTHER 28/32 as I write, extending recent losses to around 15 points in price. In fact, this month is shaping up to be the worst month for the Treasury market going all the way back to April 2004, according to Bloomberg.
Not only did the Fed fail to live up to expectations that it would immediately (or very shortly) start buying Treasuries, but demand for the latest flood of 5-year notes also came in weak. The Treasury sold $30 billion of 5s today at a yield of 1.82%, above pre-auction talk of 1.8%. The bid-to-cover ratio also came in weak at 1.98 (the lowest since September and before that, May). Indirect bidding was the only bright spot, with 34.9% of the notes sold going to that group (which includes foreign buyers).
I warned that Treasures were vulnerable and that the market was taking on bubble-like characteristics weeks ago. So I hope you dodged this bullet.
Tuesday, January 27, 2009
Let's say we stop the presses right now. We disconnect the Internet and Satellite TV, and push all of the papers and magazines on our desks into a cardboard box.
We sit at our desks in complete silence.
Without referring to any notes, commentators, or anything else - try to rely on everything you've learned up to this point in your life.
Now ask yourself, "Which sectors have the greatest upside potential over the next 2 to 5 years?"
Home healthcare? The Internet? Defense? E-commerce? Natural resources? Online gaming? Write down your answers and use them to begin your stock-selection process.
That's how I start my process. I start with the sector that has the greatest upside potential - and work back from there.
Ask yourself which sectors "should" do well based on everything you know up to this point. Your answers will amaze you. Sure, you'll be off the mark once in a while. But most of the time you'll be right on the money.
By Charles Newcastle
Thursday, January 15, 2009
Your next big investing dilemma is right around the corner. Should you - can you - take advantage of the next big stock market pop?
History (since WWII) tells us that when the S&P 500 bottoms, it'll go up about 32 percent over the following nine months. That's been the average climb following a bear market.
Here's the problem. It usually happens in bursts. And if you're not in the market for the initial burst, you've probably missed snagging the biggest gains.
The solution? Market Index Target-Term Securities (MITTS). The irresistible feature of these investments is that you can't lose money. They're hybrid securities - part bond and part options. They go for $10 per share (when first issued), and are traded on the New York Stock Exchange and the NASDAQ.
You can buy MITTS that cover the S&P 500. If the S&P goes up, you get 100 percent of the gains. If, for example, the S&P goes up 40 percent during the life of the MITTS, your gain would be 40 percent. (They last 3-7 years, but you can get them maturing as soon as May 2009.)
What if the S&P loses 40 percent? Your loss would be zero. You automatically get back the $10 per share at maturity. And, right now, all the active MITTS are trading at a discount - for as low as $8.84.
It's a zero-risk way of playing the next big market bounce. MITTS are easy to look up, because The Wall Street Journal tracks them. They're also highly liquid. So if you're interested, your broker can buy them for you. No problem.
Monday, January 12, 2009
The sun was shining, the sky was blue. And the bare-chested young man walking down the street looked like he could have been on his way to the beach. Except... it was two days before Christmas in Northern Montana. Even worse, it was 17 degrees below zero.
Sitting at a stoplight, all I could do was stare. Was this guy off his rocker? On drugs? Or just severely down on his luck?
But what happened next warmed my heart. A man in a pickup, two kids on the seat beside him, pulled up next to the shirtless man, rolled down his window, and handed out his own thick winter coat.
The young man gave a half-hearted wave of thanks and continued on down the street.
Who knows how much the coat had cost this Good Samaritan? Maybe it was a Kmart special. Maybe he'd shelled out a few hundred bucks. Perhaps he'd picked it up for a couple of dollars at the local Goodwill.
It could have cost $10 billion or 10 cents. That's not what mattered. This generous man reminded those of us who'd witnessed his act of kindness just how easy it is to be selfless. He proved to his kids that some things are worth more than money. And in weather like that, he may have saved a life.
It's easy to be thoughtful around the holidays. But don't let the lack of a "reason" prevent you from giving. I'm not talking about donating money - although that is one way to help. I'm talking about donating a little of your time and energy to people in need. Helping the frazzled mother of four carry her groceries out to the car... holding the door for the gentleman in front of you at the bank... giving blood.
Roman philosopher and playwright Seneca said, "Wherever there is a human being, there is an opportunity for a kindness." There are thousands - probably millions - of ways to spread generosity and goodwill. Do something kind today.
Saturday, January 3, 2009
With the markets getting clobbered over the last year, traditional methods for measuring the value of a stock have been thrown out of whack. That doesn't mean you can't rely on those indicators, but it does mean you need to keep certain things in mind.
Let's take dividends as an example. Many companies have slashed or completely eliminated dividends to keep more cash on hand to weather the downturn. Does this mean their current dividends should be used to measure their future income streams? Of course not.
It's better to isolate this period from your analysis and look, instead, at a company's historical dividend payments. Take a look at what the company has paid out over the last five years or so. If it has a steady and/or increasing dividend - with the only blemish being the most-recent quarters - then it is probably safe to assume that once the economy gets turned around, its dividend stream will return to normal.
Don't forget that we are in the midst of the worst market in decades. Strange things are happening, but it will eventually return to normal. Don't miss out on long-term investment opportunities by focusing too much on current conditions.